Phoenix Metro Real Estate Market Update, Predictions for 2012 (MUST SEE)

 

 

Senators Draft Bill to Give Visas to Foreigners Buying Pricey Homes

October 20, 2011,  Wall Street Journal

 
The reeling housing market has come to this: To shore it up, two Senators are preparing to introduce a bipartisan bill Thursday that would give residence visas to foreigners who spend at least $500,000 to buy houses in the U.S.
 
The provision is part of a larger package of immigration measures, co-authored by Sens. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., and Mike Lee, R-Utah, designed to spur more foreign investment in the U.S.
 
Foreigners have accounted for a growing share of home purchases in South Florida, Southern California, Arizona and other hard-hit markets. Chinese and Canadian buyers, among others, are taking advantage not only of big declines in U.S. home prices and reduced competition from Americans but also of favorable foreign exchange rates.
 
To fuel this demand, the proposed measure would offer visas to any foreigner making a cash investment of at least $500,000 on residential real-estate-a single-family house, condo or townhouse. Applicants can spend the entire amount on one house or spend as little as $250,000 on a residence and invest the rest in other residential real estate, which can be rented out.
 
The measure would complement existing visa programs that allow foreigners to enter the U.S. if they invest in new businesses that create jobs. Backers believe the initiative would help soak up an excess supply of inventory when many would-be American home buyers are holding back because they’re concerned about their jobs or because they would have to take a big loss to sell their current house.
 
“This is a way to create more demand without costing the federal government a nickel,” Sen. Schumer said in an interview.

September 2011 Phoenix Metro Market Update

Here’s a recap of the numbers for September 2011 in the Phoenix Metro Market:

Total sales in September were 8,050 which was comprised of 2,884 normal transactions which represent 36% of the market. Short Sales were 2,127 which represent 26% of the market and REO sales were 3,041 which comprised 38% of the market. In total distressed properties continue to dominate the market with over 64%. Inventory is at 19,519 which is made up of 2,857 REO listings which is only 15% and 3,457 Short Sale listings which is only 18% and 13,210 normal listings which is 68%.

2011 September City Reports ARMLS copy

Top 10 Investment Tips for Cash Flow Properties in Arizona

Real estate can still be one of the most attractive options for investors, even in a down economy.  Today’s savvy real estate investor needs to perform much more due diligence in this type of market than in years past. Today’s market is a different world filled with foreclosures and short sales; market expertise is now more crucial than ever before. It’s no secret that there are pitfalls abound, yet the rewards to those who put in the necessary footwork can be very gratifying. “If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians.” -Warren Buffett

First and foremost, before setting up a real estate investment plan, you will need to determine the price range that fits your investment criteria. If you only have a limited amount available to invest, that could help determine the potential area before further criteria is investigated. Of course on the other hand, if your budget has a high limit, it can not only mean you have more homes available, but could also determine the areas that are available to you. You may want to set up a strategy for 10 homes in an average neighborhood, or 5 homes in a more affluent area…we can help you customize a plan that is tailored to your personal investment goals.

After determining your investment tolerance, you will need to fully examine the areas that fit your criteria.  There are numerous considerations when researching an investment property, so let’s take a look at the top 10 things you should consider when searching for the right one:

 

•Amount of Listings and Vacancies

A high number of listings in a particular area could spell trouble for a landlord. That either means the rental season has passed, or the neighborhood may be turning to a “rentals only” neighborhood. Determining which of these is happening is crucial in your strategy. If it is a seasonal issue, you may want to determine when exactly would be the best time for purchase. In some neighborhoods, looking at the school schedule can be helpful.

Rents are very dependent on supply and demand, so just as in buying a home the number of homes available lowers the potential rent. Finding a neighborhood that has a low vacancy rate can lower your days on market and improve your annual rate of return.

 

•Employment

Areas with growing employment opportunities tend to attract more people, meaning more tenants. Examine the average local commute time to the employment sectors, tenants like to live close to work which means higher rents and lower vacancies. The U.S Bureau of Labor Statistics is a good place to research rates, or take a look at the large employers in the immediate area. Areas with schools, hospitals, large scale manufacturing, retail and restaurants tend to draw more renters. Keep an eye on the local papers (online as well) to see if employers are planning on opening facilities in the area, new facilities mean new workers…and new tenants.

 

•Market Rents

Knowing what a potential renter will expect when they view your home is very important. Tenants are very astute these days with the amount of information available online, and are doing more and more research before they go out looking. Be familiar with what the average rent would be for your square footage, and use that as a benchmark when determining your formulas.  Some homes may require additional repairs than in other neighborhoods so prepare your calculations accordingly. Reviewing the rental rate history of the area will give you a picture of what to expect down the road.

 

•Neighborhoods

Neighborhood quality is a huge factor that can affect other items you will need to examine as well. This can be the benchmark for what type of renters you will attract and what type of vacancy rates you will face. In Tempe for example, rental rates fluctuate greatly with the ASU semester schedule. Many students return home for the summer, thus raising the vacancy rates and lowering potential rents.

 

•Crime

Owning a rental home in an area with a high crime rate can cause some major headaches for landlords. Check out the local police department’s website for information on crime statistics in an area. Examining the recent activity versus the past few years should give you an idea in determining if the area is improving or not. Visiting the area during various times of the day and evening should also help give you a sense of the criminal activity. If you are lucky enough to speak with a local policeman, they should be able to give you an idea of the areas to stay away from.

 

•Schools

Many tenants these days have larger families than years previous, so the local school ratings are becoming increasingly important. Conducting online research is fairly easy when rating a school district, but conduction physical research may be helpful as well. Take a look at the prominent elementary and high schools in the area…although you are mainly concerned about cashflow today, this could be a major factor once you decide to sell the home one day.

 

•Amenities

Drive and search online for surrounding parks, shopping centers, restaurants, and other area attractions that would attract potential renters.  A good place to start is the city’s website and by “googling” the zip code to find out what’s in the immediate area. Some neighborhoods feature community pools and other amenities with the HOA dues, but be cautious as HOA fees are paid by the landlord and a high HOA fee can hurt your monthly return. Most suburban neighborhoods are less than $50 a month, but if there are amenities included those rates can jump much higher.

 

• Future Development

If there are new condo communities, shopping centers or commercial condos going up in an area, that is a good sign that it is a growth area.  The local municipal planning department will have information on all the future development that is coming or has been planned for the area. However, look out for new development projects that could hurt the ”rentability” of the area which would make finding a tenant more difficult. If there are many new apartment projects planned, then it may be much tougher to find a renter as you will have corporate, big budget landlord competition.

 

•Homeowners Associations

HOAs are pretty much standard in neighborhoods built within the last 10 years, so understanding their role in your investment is very important. A high HOA rate could lower your return, but it could also mean extra included amenities which may lower your vacancy rate. If an HOA is higher than normal for an area, and the amenities do not cater well to tenants, you may want to avoid the neighborhood. However, if a neighborhood has a low HOA and it’s obvious that the bylaws are not being enforced (weeds in yards, immobile vehicles in driveways, garbage containers visible, etc) you may want to avoid the neighborhood as well…resale could be a problem down the road.

 

•Property Taxes

Property taxes can vary from one municipality to another, but generally run about $100 per month in most rental areas ($1200/year). Examining the tax history can be helpful in determining future tax rates. Looking up the local tax information is very easy as Maricopa and Pinal counties have easy to use websites that allow individual parcel number searches.

 

Getting Information from the Neighbors

Many times investors will talk to local homeowners but avoid tenants, which is a mistake. Tenants will be very candid about the area and give you a clear picture of what’s really happening since they have no ownership stake in it. Visiting the neighborhood throughout different times of the day will give you a higher probable chance of meeting some chatty residents.

 

The Actual Property

What we’ve found to work the best for investors in terms of cashflow is single family residences. The HOA fees are typically much lower than condos and the tenant is responsible for the landscape maintenance. True, with condos you don’t have to worry about the landscaping, but we make sure that the tenant is aware that if the grounds are not maintained that they will be paying any HOA fees that are incurred. Single family homes also limit the amount of competition that condos face from apartment communities.  

Single family homes  tend to attract longer term renters, especially in the newer, suburban communities. For this reason we recommend looking to the newer, outlying areas of town, predominantly referred to as the “boom areas”. These are the Phoenix suburbs that experienced tremendous growth during our real estate boom, and therefore many homes are less than 10 years old, meaning less maintenance for the landlord. Now, some of these areas work much better than others in terms of cashflow and low days on market, and we would be happy to discuss these communities with you personally. These areas are also predicted to appreciate well in the next 5-10 years.

Now, condos can still be a nice investment option as well, when purchased in the right area. With condos you need to remember that you are buying the “community” as much as the “unit” itself. Certain areas of the Valley cater towards condo living much better than others, and with Phoenix being the very definition of “urban sprawl” this becomes a very important factor. A condo might be a great option for the buyer looking to use the unit personally down the road. We have many clients that are still a few years out from retirement, and want a low cost vacation home with amenities once they are ready to give up the working life…for those buyers, condos are a great option.

There are many deals still to be had, and the rental market continues to strengthen in the Phoenix Metro area. The traditional real estate investing principles still hold true, and those that do things the right way will look back and be glad that they were the ones that took action.

2-Year Low for Fannie Mae

Defaults of a serious nature have declined in recent months falling to 4.08% in June and July. The defaults peaked in February 2010 and reached 5.59% of all Fannie Mae mortgages. Fannie May currently holds $728 billion of current worth in mortgage defaults.

The level of defaults past 60 days of Fannie Mae mortgages has also declined and is now lower than it has been in two years. This is a good sign that the number of homeowners that are now able to make their mortgage payments on time are slowly increasing.

Fannie Mae 2011 second quarter reports indicated an increase in their losses. This loss is due to the amount of defaults they are reducing by providing homeowners with loan modifications.  Over 80,000 single family loan workouts were executed in the second quarter, and over 59,000 of them included loan modifications, forbearance and repayment plans.

The current goal of Fannie Mae is to lower its losses while continuing to strive to keep as many families in their homes as possible, while maintaining property values. President and CEO Michael Williams stated “We remain the largest source of liquidity for the U.S. mortgage market, and we are committed to creating long term value by helping build a stable, sustainable housing market for the future.”

Fannie Mae announced earlier this month that they will be requesting funds of $5.1 billion from the US treasury to help reduce their losses while trying to help homeowners. The rescue efforts for Fannie Mae have become one of the most expensive government bail-out plans. To date the US Treasury has funded nearly $100 billion.

Freddie Mac unveils Condo Cash Program

Freddie Mac’s HomeSteps division is offering cash incentives to buyers looking to purchase one of their condo homes that have been on the market for some time. The HomeSteps Condo Cash program is a way to help Freddie Mac unload some of its excessive condo inventory.

The Condo Cash Program provides buyers up to $1,500 to assist in paying for standard home owner association dues, hopefully covering at least the first year of ownership. Condo fees in some communities can be quite high, and this will help alleviate some of the pain that Freddie Mac has been enduring over the past few years.

The stipulation is that the offer is only valid to owner-occupant buyers (no investors or second homeowners) and only on HomeStep condos that have been listed for at least 120 days. To be eligible, buyers must submit offers between Aug. 15 and Nov. 15, and close escrow by Dec. 30, 2011. 

This offer is separate from the First Look Program that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae launched late last year.

 

Hey Parents! Why Rent for Your ASU Student When You Can Own?

It’s that time of year when college classes are about to begin and ASU students need a place to live. Parents are flocking to the Valley to enroll their college-age sons and daughters at ASU. Among the accumulation of things to do, housing is the most important. Housing is the biggest expense parents face when their kids go off to college. They often have a choice of overpriced, overcrowded dorms, apartments or condos to rent. Some parents are doing something different: they are brilliantly choosing to take advantage of the incredibly affordable real estate market in Phoenix by buying homes for their most prized possessions to live in while they attend school and maybe for longer.
 
The attractive Phoenix real estate market is at this century’s lowest prices ─why pay rent when you can own? Consider this: if your youngster is going to be at ASU for four or more years, then wouldn’t it be safer and also cost-effective for you to purchase a home for them to live in during that time? By purchasing a home, you would benefit financially and reclaim some of that well-spent college tuition rather than pay escalating rent (up to $40K per degree earned!) to another homeowner who will benefit while your budding entrepreneur helps pay their mortgage. Forty Thousand dollars is nearly double the amount down on many single family residences in the Phoenix and Tempe areas. If your incredible deal is on the purchase of a larger home than your college student needs, you may consider renting rooms out to help pay the mortgage. Then, when your child finally graduates or decides that college really isn’t for them, you can either keep benefiting from your asset as investment property by continuing to rent it out or sell it and make a bundle. What this does is give you options. By keeping your asset, you can either make passive income on it as a rental while also benefiting from the many tax breaks, or you could sell it and re-invest on another property to avoid being taxed on your profit, or you could decide to keep it as a vacation home.
 
Consider this: according to rent.com, the average rent in Tempe , AZ is $725 a month and your child has no control of their living environment. Meanwhile, the principal and interest payment on a $100,000 mortgage is $507 a month. Now, you may be thinking…what can I buy for $100,000? The median home price in the Phoenix Metro Area is $108,300. That means that 50% of the available homes are under $108,300. And, if you want low maintenance (your college student will appreciate this), there are plenty of townhomes and condos in the Scottsdale/Tempe/Mesa area that are well below that mark. Several of the Phoenix area cities are just minutes away from ASU because of our efficient roadways, freeways, and Tram system. A small 2 bedroom, 2 bath townhome in Tempe can be purchased for as low as $49,000! Better yet, interest rates are now at historic 50 year lows.  By making this one smart investment now, you can build your retirement fund and provide a safe, affordable home for your college kids at the same time. What could be better? Do yourself a favor; make this investment for both your children’s future and your own! Contact The Mullarkey Group and we can take a look at the affordable homes for sale in and around Tempe

Freddie Mac Offering Cash Incentives to Condo Buyers

Freddie Mac’s HomeSteps division is offering cash incentives to buyers looking to purchase one of their condo homes that have been on the market for some time. The HomeSteps Condo Cash program is a way to help Freddie Mac unload some of its excessive condo inventory.

The Condo Cash Program provides buyers up to $1,500 to assist in paying for standard home owner association dues, hopefully covering at least the first year of ownership. Condo fees in some communities can be quite high, and this will help alleviate some of the pain that Freddie Mac has been enduring over the past few years.

The stipulation is that the offer is only valid to owner-occupant buyers (no investors or second homeowners) and only on HomeStep condos that have been listed for at least 120 days. To be eligible, buyers must submit offers between Aug. 15 and Nov. 15, and close escrow by Dec. 30, 2011. 

This offer is separate from the First Look Program that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae launched late last year.

Tips on How to Raise Your Credit Score in Phoenix, Arizona

Video courtesy of Jon Tobias at Nova Home Loans

 

Here are some highlights for improving one’s credit score:

1) Check reports to ensure accuracy. First, your customers want to make sure they aren’t getting penalized by a low score that is a mistake.
2) Always pay bills on time. Paying bills on time is critical for a good credit score.  Your payment history comprises more than one-third of the typical credit-score determination.
3) Keep accounts open.  Don’t close old credit card accounts, even ones you’re not using.  It will reduce the amount of available credit and can actually lower your credit score.
 
4) Keep your credit balances low, this will also help raise your score. The more available credit you have, the lower your credit risk looks with a potential lender.

 

Contact The Tobias Team for more helpful credit repair advice and assi

Fix and Flip in Phoenix, Arizona

Now that you won the bid on the house you wanted, your goal is to rehab and flip it within 30 days. But where do you start? What is going to make the house so appealing that someone will want to buy it right away? Perhaps you’re thinking new carpet, new cabinets, and new paint is what it will take to have your house back on the market and sold in record time. But it doesn’t sell. Instead it costs you mortgage and interest payments. What went wrong? To be the best home in the neighborhood, your rehab needs to flaunt quality and value. The features most homebuyers are looking for include modern name brand appliances, quality cabinetry and hardware, granite countertops, 2-tone paint, 18″-20″ tile, and Berber carpet. A quality rehab must be able to fit these items in the budget to create value. Experienced investors who fix and flip for a profit know that these features give their properties a definite resale edge over the average REO & short sale properties. We can help you determine the areas that will maximize your return and minimize days on market (an investors worst enemy). There are ways to save both on cost and labor, while not sacrificing quality and appeal. Let us help guide you in the right direction with our experience. We want to make your investment shine for the lowest possible cost! We can also include a light Staging at no cost to you depending on your situation, contact us for more details.